Pre-tourney Rankings
College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#126
Expected Predictive Rating+4.8#107
Pace64.2#294
Improvement-2.3#279

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#95
First Shot+4.2#60
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#257
Layup/Dunks+4.0#39
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#261
Freethrows+1.6#70
Improvement+0.3#171

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#166
First Shot-0.8#191
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#85
Layups/Dunks-0.9#214
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#171
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#283
Freethrows+2.4#35
Improvement-2.5#294
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 1.01.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 0.02.0 - 1.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.02.0 - 5.0
Quad 35.0 - 2.07.0 - 7.0
Quad 416.0 - 2.023.0 - 9.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 199   Presbyterian W 85-73 78%     1 - 0 +6.8 +6.8 +0.2
  Nov 10, 2018 283   @ Western Carolina W 77-74 76%     2 - 0 -1.1 +3.4 -4.5
  Nov 13, 2018 133   Rhode Island W 66-55 63%     3 - 0 +10.7 -0.5 +12.1
  Nov 18, 2018 79   @ Oklahoma St. L 58-70 28%     3 - 1 -3.0 -9.8 +6.6
  Nov 22, 2018 18   LSU L 55-67 13%     3 - 2 +3.1 -7.8 +9.6
  Nov 23, 2018 147   UAB W 74-51 57%     4 - 2 +24.4 +7.8 +18.7
  Nov 25, 2018 58   Memphis W 78-75 31%     5 - 2 +11.3 +6.8 +4.4
  Nov 28, 2018 339   South Carolina St. W 83-70 96%     6 - 2 -4.1 +0.2 -4.1
  Dec 01, 2018 287   Charlotte W 72-64 88%     7 - 2 -1.9 +4.8 -5.7
  Dec 15, 2018 44   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 83-79 17%     8 - 2 +17.4 +10.1 +6.8
  Dec 18, 2018 250   @ Siena W 83-58 71%     9 - 2 +22.4 +21.2 +4.9
  Dec 21, 2018 167   Coastal Carolina W 73-71 73%     10 - 2 -1.4 -0.2 -1.1
  Dec 29, 2018 263   @ UNC Wilmington W 73-66 73%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +3.8 +3.4 +1.2
  Jan 03, 2019 276   @ Towson W 67-55 75%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +8.1 +2.5 +7.5
  Jan 05, 2019 267   @ James Madison L 58-69 74%     12 - 3 2 - 1 -14.5 -13.3 -2.1
  Jan 10, 2019 247   Drexel L 78-79 85%     12 - 4 2 - 2 -9.0 +2.0 -11.0
  Jan 12, 2019 254   Delaware W 71-58 85%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +4.8 -5.0 +10.5
  Jan 17, 2019 83   @ Northeastern L 60-69 29%     13 - 5 3 - 3 -0.3 -9.8 +9.4
  Jan 19, 2019 105   @ Hofstra L 72-86 34%     13 - 6 3 - 4 -6.6 +3.5 -11.4
  Jan 24, 2019 298   Elon W 72-53 90%     14 - 6 4 - 4 +8.1 -2.6 +11.9
  Jan 26, 2019 209   William & Mary W 74-59 79%     15 - 6 5 - 4 +9.6 +3.5 +7.3
  Jan 31, 2019 267   James Madison W 70-53 87%     16 - 6 6 - 4 +8.0 +1.0 +9.3
  Feb 02, 2019 276   Towson W 54-53 88%     17 - 6 7 - 4 -8.4 -10.0 +1.8
  Feb 07, 2019 254   @ Delaware W 83-75 71%     18 - 6 8 - 4 +5.3 +15.8 -9.5
  Feb 09, 2019 247   @ Drexel W 86-84 70%     19 - 6 9 - 4 -0.4 +9.1 -9.5
  Feb 14, 2019 105   Hofstra L 95-99 55%     19 - 7 9 - 5 -2.2 +11.5 -13.4
  Feb 16, 2019 83   Northeastern W 88-79 OT 50%     20 - 7 10 - 5 +12.2 +14.2 -2.1
  Feb 21, 2019 209   @ William & Mary L 84-86 OT 61%     20 - 8 10 - 6 -1.9 +1.4 -3.0
  Feb 23, 2019 298   @ Elon W 84-74 79%     21 - 8 11 - 6 +4.7 +17.6 -11.7
  Mar 02, 2019 263   UNC Wilmington W 70-61 86%     22 - 8 12 - 6 +0.2 -9.5 +9.9
  Mar 10, 2019 247   Drexel W 73-61 79%     23 - 8 +6.8 -3.7 +10.8
  Mar 11, 2019 83   Northeastern L 67-70 39%     23 - 9 +2.9 +4.1 -1.5
Projected Record 23.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%